Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks Picks and Prediction for Monday November 9, 2026

The Indiana Pacers will be on the road Monday night for a matchup against the Dallas Mavericks inside American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas. The game is scheduled to begin at 8:00 PM ET. Indiana comes into Monday night with three wins in their first 10 games played, having dropped four of the last five after a 12-point home loss to Denver last time out. The Dallas Mavericks are 6-4 this year coming into Monday riding a 2-game winning streak after they blew out Brooklyn Sunday. Stay in the action with our NBA Picks.

Indiana needs the win 

The Indiana Pacers offense is averaging 110.3 points on 46% shooting from the floor this season. Defensively, Indiana is allowing 114.2 points per game, but they've given up an average of 116.25 points per game across their last four losses. Pascal Siakam is leading the Indiana offense this season, averaging 21.4 points and 6.6 rebounds per game. Tyrese Haliburton has averaged 21.8 points per game this season, but he's played just four times. Andrew Nembhard is averaging 17.8 points, and he leads the team, dishing out seven assists per game. Obi Toppin is averaging 13.9 points, and Aaron Nesmith has averaged 12.1 points per game this season.

Offensively, Indiana was mediocre in their last outing, scoring 102 points on 45% shooting and 31% from the outside. Defensively, Indiana was outmatched, giving up 114 points on 46% shooting. The Pacers lost the rebounding battle by six and turned the ball over 10 times in the loss. Pascal Siakam led Indiana with 23 points on 18 shots.

Key Injury Report for Indiana:

• TJ McConnell (GTD) - Hamstring
• Tyrese Haliburton (Out) - Hamstring
• Johnny Furphy (Out) - Knee
• Ben Sheppard (Out) - Knee

Dallas looks to stay above.500

The Dallas Mavericks offense is averaging 112.1 points on 46% shooting from the floor this season. Defensively, Dallas is allowing 110.9 points per game, but they've given up an average of 113.5 points per game across their last two losses. Cooper Flagg is leading Dallas this season, averaging 23.9 points and 6.4 assists per game. Kyrie Irving is second on the roster with 21.4 points per game. PJ Washington is averaging 15.8 points and leads Dallas, pulling in 7.7 rebounds per game. Naji Marshall is the fourth player on the roster in double digits, averaging 12.5 points in just over 26 minutes per game.

Defensively, Dallas was phenomenal Sunday night, giving up just 93 points as Brooklyn shot 39% from the field and 28% from the outside. Offensively, Dallas rolled, scoring 130 points on 57% shooting and 40% from beyond the arc. Dallas won the rebounding battle by 16 and forced 17 turnovers in the win. Cooper Flagg led Dallas with 25 points and 12 assists on 13 shots.

Key Injury Report for Dallas:

• Serio de Larrea (Out) - Knee
• Tarik Biberovic (Out) - Heel
• Dereck Lively II (Out) - Foot

Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks Picks and Prediction

Pick: Dallas Mavericks

Dallas has a favorable matchup against an Indiana team that has struggled to find consistency on both ends of the floor. The Mavericks have enough offensive talent to attack the Pacers inside and create quality scoring opportunities throughout the game. Indiana will need strong production from Pascal Siakam and Andrew Nembhard to remain competitive, especially with Tyrese Haliburton dealing with an injury. Dallas should also have opportunities to control the rebounding battle and limit Indiana's second-chance possessions. Look for the Mavericks to take advantage of their home floor and do enough defensively to secure the victory.

Total Pick: Under

This matchup could feature stretches of inconsistent offense, particularly with Indiana struggling to establish a reliable scoring rhythm. Dallas has the personnel to slow the game down and force the Pacers to execute in half-court situations. Indiana should find opportunities in transition, but its offensive limitations could become an issue against a Dallas team capable of protecting the paint. The Mavericks will also be playing on the second night of a back-to-back, which could impact their offensive efficiency. Expect Dallas to control the pace and keep the combined score under the total.

Final Picks: Dallas Mavericks and Under

Game Written Before Completion of the Game on